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How randomness shapes queues, equipment failures and inventory, and how probability models help explain and predict these uncertain systems.

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From Stochastic Models: Random variables review for modeling · Discrete Distributions for Counting

For a binomial count, when is its variance closest to its mean?

  1. When the success probability is small
  2. When the number of trials is small
  3. When the success probability is near 0.5
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Answer: When the success probability is small

The variance is np(1 − p); when p is small, 1 − p is nearly 1, so the variance nearly equals the mean np.

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